Is the Khomeiniist regime losing the Middle East?

The protests in Lebanon and Iraq show that the Islamic regime is losing the Middle East.

By The Free Iran Staff


As Hanin Ghaddar wrote in Foreign Policy, “in less than a month, demonstrations against corruption and a lack of economic reform erupted in both Iraq and Lebanon. In both countries, the unprecedented protests, which rocked Shiite towns and cities, have revealed that Iran’s system for exerting influence in the region failed. Ghaddar then continues “for the Shiite communities in Iraq and Lebanon, Tehran and its proxies have failed to translate military and political victories into a socioeconomic vision; simply put, Iran’s resistance narrative did not put food on the table.” She also adds that “since the very beginning of the Islamic revolution, the Iranian government and IRGC have had a clear, long-term, and detailed policy on how to export its revolution to the region, mainly in countries with a substantial Shiite majority.”

Iraq and Lebanon are good examples of the reality that the Islamic regime in Iran is losing control, and it doesn’t yet understand that it can’t dominate these countries anymore.

Hezbollah is the root cause of Lebanon’s misery

The frustrated, protesting, Lebanese people, including the Shiites, blame Hezbollah, and its leader Hassan Nasrallah, for the increasing poverty and corruption in their in their country, and the street protests are spreading to Hezbollah dominated regions.

According to an AFP report, the traditional supporters of Hezbollah in the southern Shiite city of Nabatieh have joined the protesters. In Beirut, the protesters directed their rage against Hassan Nassrallah, and blamed him for corrupting and destroying the country.

The protests have been occurring in almost all of the cities and towns that have been traditionally controlled by Hezbollah and its ally, the Amal Party.

The Hezbollah affiliated Al Meidan TV broadcast a report about the protests in which one of the protesters explicitly wanted Hassan Nasrallah to care about the Lebanese people instead of participating in the Syrian civil war, or in hostilities against Israel.

In a televised address, Hassan Nassrallah responded to the protesters by saying “you can damn me, I don’t care.”

According to a Radio France report, the criticism of the Amal Party leader, Nabieh Berri, who is called a “thief” by the Lebanese people, is harsher.

According to analysts, the protests against Hezbollah and its leader indicate that the images of Hezbollah and Hassan Nassrallah are shattered, and the Lebanese Shiites are fed up with the increasing poverty.

The protests in Iraq and Lebanon brought about the failure of the Arba’een Pilgrimage

According to Mansour Aman, “the political Islamic carnival which is called the Arba’een Pilgrimage started with the Iraqi people’s protests, and ended with the Lebanese people’s uprising.”

The Islamic regime’s policies have reached a dead-end in two major areas of influence: the Iraqis and the Lebanese have realized the destructive consequences of the Islamic regime on their countries’ politics, societies, and economies, and they proved the futility of the orchestrated Arba’een march through their revolt.

By considering the objectives and expectations of the Islamic regime, one can realize their loss in their two major strongholds.

The Islamic regime considers the orchestration and promotion of the Arba’een Pilgrimage as a show of force, and an avenue for the socio-political domination in the Middle East; simply put, this campaign’s main goal is to prove that the Supreme Leader of the Islamic regime has authority over the Shiite population of the Middle East, and can manipulate them into carrying out his agenda.

Such religious carnivals are means to spread political Islam by instigating the religious and superstitious sentiments of the masses, as Iranian opposition activists have described it, it is “using Islam as a stepladder.”

Is the Khomeiniist regime losing the Middle East?The Iranians are not the only people who are turning against political Islam and the Guardianship of the Jurist (Velayat’e Faghih); this trend is also gradually gaining momentum beyond the borders of the Islamic regime.

The root causes of these developments lie in the abject failure of political Islam to manage the society and economy.

The disastrous political, social and economic situation, not only of Iran, but also of Lebanon and Iraq, is removing the religious and ethical mask off the face of the Islamic regime; each day that goes by, more and more people are leaving the regime’s orbit.

Power projection gestures, such as “distributing two million food portions,” won’t help the mullahs save face. The Iranian people are gradually learning that the massive economic blackhole that they face is the creation of the mullahs’ billion-dollar adventures in Iraq and other countries; they know that they have been ignored and excluded, and their share of their country’s wealth has been squandered.